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AFL Round 22 Preview | Expert Tips, Predictions, Best Bets & Wildcard Finals Race

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Brief overview

Two punters preview the weekend's AFL games, naming lines, player disposal bets and their best bet.

  1. Back a trend until you get a reason not toHarrow keeps playing the over in Lions games, now around 185.5, because they have repeatedly gone past 180 in their last 14.
  2. Percentage chasing makes ten-goal lines playableGeelong at 64 and a half and Adelaide at 55.5 are both chasing percentage, with Geelong on 117, Brisbane 114 and Adelaide 117.
  3. Rain in Canberra rewrites the GWS-Gold Coast market10 to 20 mil forecast with the total down at 166.5, pushing the pair towards tackle and mark unders and the 18.5 start.
Executive Summary AI
  • Harrow opens as a relieved Blues fan after Carlton's Saturday night win over Brisbane, while Wally watched it in a house split between a Carlton family and a Brisbane family.
  • Reviewing the punt, the best bet landed because the Ds only had to win by six points or more and won by nine, with the over in Blues v Lions and Freo over the Doggies also paying, while the Eagles' nine goals 19 against Richmond and Port against the Giants were the lowlights.
  • Wally calls a bona fide Coleman race with Charlie Kerno on 57 and four ahead of Ben King, Gunston and Nick Watson, and reckons the Wiz needs about 15 goals in three games, with Kerno playing at 320 and Hawthorne at 720 on the last Sunday, August 23.
  • The game-by-game preview sets the lines: the dogs $1.37 and North Melbourne $3.12 off 17 and a half points, the Hawthorne-Brisbane total around 185.5, Geelong 64 and a half against Essendon and Adelaide 55.5 against Richmond, with Harrow siding with North, the Hawks and both percentage chasers.
  • Asked for his best bet of the round, Harrow doubles down on Carlton minus six and a half against St Kilda, a line that has moved from Carlton plus five and a half.
Key Quote
“So that was definitely the highlight of the footy for me from the weekend.”
— Harrow
Key Quote
“There is like this Sunday night now, St. Kilda Carlton is huge.”
— Wally
Key Quote
“like throw the form out the window because it's a completely different game.”
— Harrow