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Trump's Gaza Peace Plan

10:25 recording · EN · 2 speakers

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Executive Summary AI
  • On The Guardian's The Latest, Lucy Hough asks senior international correspondent Julian Borgia about Donald Trump's announcement that his Board of Peace has agreed the complete disarmament of Hamas, a key term for Israeli withdrawal from Gaza.0:37
  • Borgia explains the deal is meant to link disarmament with withdrawal in phases, but when it begins is unclear: a verification commission gets two weeks, and the technocratic National Committee for the Administration of Gaza still needs a trained police force and an international stabilisation force.2:02
  • Israeli officials have dismissed it as a Hamas play for time and National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gavir wants Hamas destroyed, leaving Netanyahu in a bind before crucial October elections, with a record of agreeing on paper and then dragging his heels.4:03
  • Hamas's new leader, Khalil al-Hayah, based in Doha and once close to Yahya Sinwa, came out of drawn-out internal elections and faced pressure from Qatar and Turkey to reach an agreement.7:10
  • Israel is now thought to control more than 60% of Gaza plus a buffer zone, and while more aid enters than during the war, nothing that would help rebuild is allowed, leaving 2.1 million Palestinians in horrendous conditions with no sign of change.8:18

Brief overview

Trump's Board of Peace deal ties Hamas disarmament to phased Israeli withdrawal, but timing and Israeli acceptance remain unclear.

  1. Disarmament and withdrawal are to be phased togetherNo side is expected to complete its part before the other, but no start date is set.
  2. Netanyahu faces pressure from both Trump and his coalitionThe far right opposes the ceasefire and October elections make any sign of weakness costly.
  3. Conditions in Gaza remain direIsrael controls more than 60% of the strip and blocks reconstruction materials such as water pipes.

Questions this recording answers

8 questions, each answered where it is said
What did Trump's Board of Peace agree about Hamas?

Donald Trump announced that his Board of Peace reached an agreement for the complete disarmament of Hamas, a key term for Israeli troops withdrawing from Gaza. The board was set up to implement the Gaza ceasefire first agreed last October, and disarmament had been the main sticking point.

Answered around 0:44
How will Hamas disarmament and Israeli withdrawal be sequenced?

According to Julian Borgia, the agreement appears to set a phased withdrawal in step with disarmament. No one is expected to do everything on their side before the other does, and there will be no disarmament before or without a corresponding withdrawal. Hamas says weapons go to a Board of Peace body.

Answered around 3:11
When will the Gaza disarmament deal start?

That is really unclear. There is a two-week period to set up a verification commission. Then the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza must enter, but it needs a police force that has not been properly trained, backed by an international stabilisation force that has not begun arriving.

Answered around 2:07
How is Israel likely to react to the agreement?

Israeli officials quoted anonymously have dismissed it as a Hamas play for time. National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gavir says Hamas should be destroyed and emigration from Gaza encouraged. The coalition's far right never accepted the ceasefire, leaving Netanyahu in a bind between Trump's request and his coalition.

Answered around 4:03
How do Israel's October elections affect Netanyahu's decision?

Borgia says the elections loom large in Netanyahu's calculations, since any apparent weakness towards Hamas would cost him votes in his core support. Until now his tactic has been to agree on paper and then drag his heels, limiting aid into Gaza and pushing front lines forward.

Answered around 5:19
Who is Hamas's new leader?

Khalil al-Hayah, based in Doha, formerly associated with Hamas's more hardline Gaza wing and closely associated with Yahya Sinwa, who launched the war. He emerged from drawn-out internal elections, during which some organisers were bombed, and is under heavy pressure from Qatar and Turkey to reach an agreement.

Answered around 7:10
How much of Gaza does Israel control?

The host cites more than half of the strip, 53%. Borgia says that since the October ceasefire Israel has pushed its lines into Hamas-controlled territory and is now thought to control more than 60%, plus a buffer zone where international organisations must coordinate with it and Palestinians face danger.

Answered around 7:57
What are living conditions like in Gaza now?

More humanitarian aid enters than during the war, but nothing that would help Gaza rebuild, such as heavy equipment or even water pipes, which Israel sees as potential dual use. Borgia says conditions for the 2.1 million Palestinians in a shrinking area remain horrendous, with no sign of change.

Answered around 8:52
Key Quote
“Netanyahu at the moment is in a bind.”
— Julian Borgia0:28
Key Quote
“No one is going to do everything on their side before the other side does everything”
— Julian Borgia3:16
Key Quote
“The Israelis, on the whole, have dragged their heels.”
— Julian Borgia5:48
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