Toby Rogers argues the CDC childhood vaccine schedule, not genetics, drives a 27,600% rise in autism.
A genetic epidemic is biologically impossibleBrett argues a dominant gene, even with meiotic drive, would reach only about 32 people in a century, not millions.
The aluminum safety study used four rabbitsOne rabbit's results were lost, and in the rest 94% and mid-70% of the adjuvant remained in kidneys, liver, heart, lymph nodes, bone marrow and brain.
Autistic regression points to acute exposureSally Ozenoff's 2018 work found up to 88% of autism cases involve regression after normal development, which Rogers ties to well-baby visits.
Executive SummaryAI
Political economist Toby Rogers tells Brett that autism prevalence rose 27,600% in 50 years, from 1 in 10,000 children in Treffert's 1970 study to 1 in 33 today, a 277-fold increase the CDC's genetic and better-awareness explanations cannot account for.
He says the federal government spent over $2 billion and private foundations another $300 million hunting the gene for autism, with no identified gene explaining more than 1% of cases, while NIH spends $8 billion a year on genetics research that diverts attention from toxicants.
Of the five classes of environmental exposures he grouped in his thesis, he says coal plants, plastics, pesticides and EMF each raise risk only 30% to 200%, while pharmaceutical products, especially vaccines, carry the lion's share, with shots rising from about seven in the early 1980s to roughly 84 today.
He cites the Danish-led Bandim Health Project in Guinea-Bissau, a 200,000-person, 40-year data set, where Christine Stable-Benn found only attenuated live virus vaccines produced more benefits than harms, and notes those three shots, oral polio, standalone measles and BCG, are not on the US schedule.
On costs, he points to a 2015 study putting autism's annual US cost at $268 billion, now over $300 billion and heading past a trillion by the end of the decade, with California data showing a 4.6% autism rate and 8% to 10% among Black and Hispanic boys born from 2016.
Key Quote
“Unfortunately, all roads lead back to vaccines in this debate.”
— Toby Rogers
Key Quote
“That's like profound evidence of harm in a study designed not to be able to find it.”
— Brett
Key Quote
“So that's more than a tenfold increase in the size of the schedule.”